XRP Price Under Pressure: What’s Next For Ripple’s Digital Token?

BitGenix
3 min readMar 20, 2024

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The recent price surge of Ripple (XRP) has many investors wondering what’s next. While the price climbed significantly, some concerning signs are emerging that could indicate a potential slowdown. Let’s dive into the factors that might influence XRP’s future price movement.

Development Activity Taking a Dip

A strong development community is often a good indicator of a healthy cryptocurrency project. In the case of XRP, development activity saw a tenfold increase in just ten days back in March, reaching its highest point since November 2023. This spike in activity could be interpreted as a surge in investor confidence and excitement about the project’s future potential.

However, a recent trend reversal is causing some worry. Development activity has sharply declined, reaching its lowest point in two weeks. This could signal a shift in developer focus or a slow innovation within the XRP ecosystem. Considering this decline in light of XRP’s recent price action is important.

Are Users Losing Interest?

Another factor to consider is user engagement. Daily active addresses associated with XRP have fallen by 20% in the past week. This suggests a potential decrease in user activity on the XRP network, which could put downward pressure on the price.

Historically, there’s been a strong correlation between daily active addresses and XRP’s price. However, the price climbed alongside the broader market rally in recent months even with stagnant or declining user activity. This disconnect is worth noting, and the recent decline in active addresses could indicate a return to the historical correlation, potentially leading to a price correction.

Technical Analysis Hints at a Bearish Turn

Looking at the XRP price chart in a 4-hour timeframe, a technical indicator called the EMA has emerged. This ominous pattern suggests a potential shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish. It forms when a short-term moving average (like the 20-day EMA) falls below a long-term moving average (like the 100-day or 200-day EMA). This suggests recent prices are lower than historical ones, potentially signaling that sellers are taking control.

Not Everything Is A Loss

Despite these warning signs, there’s still a chance for XRP to defy the odds. If the price can reverse the downtrend and climb above the current resistance level of $0.64, it could pave the way for a further rise to $0.75.

The Takeaway: Proceed with Caution

While the recent price increase for XRP is exciting, the decline in development activity, user engagement, and the emergence of a bearish technical indicator suggest potential headwinds. Investors should carefully consider these factors before making any investment decisions and remember that the cryptocurrency market remains volatile.

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BitGenix
BitGenix

Written by BitGenix

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