Bitcoin Bounces Back: Analyzing Bitcoin’s Post-Halving Price Action

BitGenix
3 min readApr 23, 2024

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The crypto world has been excited following the recent Bitcoin halving event, a pivotal moment that occurs roughly every four years. As the dust settles, investors and enthusiasts closely monitor the market’s response and the potential ripple effects across the broader crypto ecosystem. In this article we” ‘ll delve into the aftermath of the halving, exploring the insights from industry experts and examining the potential opportunities and challenges that lie ahead.

Bitcoin Price Stabilization And Market Dynamics:

Image Source: CoinMarketCap

Bitcoin’s price took a wild ride recently! After the fourth halving event, the price reached a high of $64,926 but quickly corrected and is currently hovering around $66,500. According to a recent market update from the crypto hedge fund QCP Capital, there are notable observations regarding the post-halving scenario and the broader crypto market.

What Are Funding Rates Telling Us?

While funding rates, which reflect the cost of holding long or short positions in the futures market, have cooled off from their previously high levels, QCP capital points out that some smaller cryptocurrencies are experiencing deeply negative rates. This negative funding rate suggests the potential for a short squeeze, particularly in altcoins and meme coins.

What Does This Mean For You?

QCP Capital highlights that while Bitcoin’s price didn’t experience a significant spike immediately after the halving, historical data suggests that the cryptocurrency tends to rise 50–100 days post-halving. This pattern could allow bullish investors to build long positions soon, potentially capitalizing on the anticipated upward momentum.

Moreover, there is speculation about a potential short-squeeze in the near term, led by altcoins and meme coins with negative funding rates. This phenomenon could occur if the market sentiment shifts and investors become more risk-appetent, potentially driving up the prices of these assets as short sellers scramble to cover their positions.

Additionally, QCP Capital’s analysis indicates that Ethereum’s risk reversals, which measure the difference between call and put option prices, are looking favorable, hinting at improved speculative sentiment in the market.

Should You Buy Bitcoin Now?

  • Bullish Case: QCP Capital recommends buying Bitcoin using options strategies for a potentially high reward. They believe Bitcoin could surge past $80,000 by September 6th.
  • Bearish Case: Analysts like Markus Thielen warn of a potential market correction in the coming months.

Technical Analysis:

  • Indicators like EMAs and SMAs suggest buying interest, while others like RSI and MACD hint at short-term weakness.
  • Support Levels: Keep an eye on key support levels at $62,467, $53,650, and $39,169. These can indicate buying pressure and influence future price movements.

Conclusion:

Navigating the crypto landscape as the crypto community navigates the post-halving landscape, it’s essential to approach the market with a balanced perspective. While historical patterns and expert insights offer valuable guidance, the crypto markets are known for their volatility, and unexpected developments or external factors could potentially influence the outcome.

Staying informed through reputable sources like CoinMarketCap, and BitGenix, analyzing reputable market trends, and seeking guidance from experienced professionals can help investors and enthusiasts make informed decisions.

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BitGenix
BitGenix

Written by BitGenix

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